Chris Tillman (9-7, 4.54 ERA) and Kyle Gibson (8-9, 3.99 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (62-59) and the Minnesota Twins (61-61) at Camden Yards. The Twins won the last game 4-3 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 22 and can be seen on FSN and MASN.
Tillman pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking three in a 4-2 win over the Athletics. Chris Davis (.261, 71 Rs, 34 HRs, 89 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Gibson went 5.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking three in an 8-7 defeat to the Yankees in his most recent start. Brian Dozier (.245, 84 Rs, 25 HRs, 62 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Baltimore is a -162 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of +42 and a record as the favorite of 40-28. Baltimore is an impressive 6-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the AL in home offense with 5.0 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Orioles are the third-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.3 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 45-51 record and an overall money line of +1,000. Offensively, the Twins have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.3 runs per game by averaging 5.7 during that stretch. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
The Twins lead the season series, 5-0. The Orioles have a 45-47 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gibson takes the mound. Tillman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 39-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bal, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Twins won by a margin of one run. The Orioles are 17-20 in one-run games. The Twins have a 17-17 record in close games.
The Orioles are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Twins have a record of 15-27 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Twins have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Twins have won their last two games while the Orioles have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 45-11. The Twins have a 44-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 10th in runs, Minnesota has earned 526 this season. Baltimore ranks fifth with 539 runs.
Baltimore and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Baltimore sits at 26th with 291 this season and Minnesota ranks 24th with 304.
The Orioles are 55-32 when they hit at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 46-27 record.