Luis Severino (0-2, 3.18 ERA) and Danny Salazar (11-6, 3.16 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the New York Yankees (67-54) and the Cleveland Indians (57-64) at Yankee Stadium. The Indians won the last game 7-3 and Cleveland leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 22 and can be seen on STOh, YES and MLBN.
Severino pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out nine and walking three in a 3-1 defeat to the Blue Jays. Alex Rodriguez (.262, 69 Rs, 26 HRs, 69 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. Salazar went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking one in an 8-2 win over the Red Sox in his last outing. Michael Brantley (.320, 51 Rs, 9 HRs, 68 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two RBIs.
New York is a -134 favorite against Cleveland and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +240 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 42-28.
In games where it is the underdog, Cleveland has a 18-24 record and an overall money line of -1,938. Cleveland is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 3.4 per game. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Indians are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season. The Indians have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Indians lead the season series, 4-1. The Yankees have a 45-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Salazar takes the mound. Severino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Indians, who have a 43-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
Cleveland has won 45% (17-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 48% (28-30) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Indians are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 22-29 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 8-48. The Yankees have a 13-42 record when opponents outhit them.
Cleveland ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 98 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 162.
Ranking eighth, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.59 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.76.
Ranking 14th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .753.
The Indians are 35-52 when they allow at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 33-41 record.