Jordan Zimmermann (9-8, 3.44 ERA) and Matt Garza (6-13, 4.98 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (61-61) and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-71) at Nationals Park. The Nationals won the last game 6-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 23 and can be seen on FSWI and MAS2.
Zimmermann pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs (two unearned), striking out six and walking one in a 15-6 win over the Rockies. Bryce Harper (.329, 85 Rs, 31 HRs, 74 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Garza went 5.0 innings, surrendering five runs and striking out two in a 6-2 defeat to the Marlins in his most recent start. Khris Davis (.240, 33 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Washington is a -156 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Nationals have an overall money line of -1,504 and a record as the favorite of 47-38. The Nationals have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.2 runs per game. Washington is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.1 per game. Washington's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.6 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.1. The Nationals are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.2 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,695 and a disappointing record of 29-44 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 5-5 record SU. The The Brewers allow just three runs per road game, ranking them third in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Brewers are fifth in the NL on the road with an average of 8.3 hits allowed per away game.
The Nationals have a 44-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Garza takes the mound. Zimmermann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 38-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 29-26, while Milwaukee is 29-29.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Nationals have a 26-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 38-9. The Nationals have a 48-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 490 this season. Washington ranks 14th with 509 runs.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 308 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 385.
The Nationals are 44-30 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 40-26 when they hit at least one homer.