Colin Rea (2-0, 4.22 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (61-62) go up against Michael Wacha (14-4, 2.85 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (77-45) in the last of a three-game series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 8-0, extending a five-game winning streak. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 23 and will air on FSMW and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Rea pitched 5.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-3 victory over the Braves. Justin Upton (.257, 66 Rs, 20 HRs, 67 RBIs, 18 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and two RBIs. The Cardinals were unsuccessful to the Giants 2-1 the last time Wacha pitched. He went 7.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking one.
San Diego, a +130 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against St. Louis. The matchup currently has a seven-run Over/Under (O/U). When playing as the underdog, the Padres have a 28-38 record and overall money line at -417. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Padres has gone great. Over that span, San Diego is averaging 5.8 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.0. The Padres rank fifth in the majors in extra base hits with 331. Turning to the pitching staff, the Padres are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.4 per game. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at Petco Park, averaging 8.9 strikeouts per home game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Cardinals come into this game with a solid win percentage of .699 when playing as the favorite (65-28) and an overall money line of +2,289. The Cardinals average 2.9 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL when they travel. The Cardinals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an NL-low 2.64 ERA this season. They also allow just 8.2 hits per game, good for second in the NL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.
The Padres have gotten the best of the Cardinals in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. The Padres will take on a right-hander (Wacha) in this game and have a 46-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Cardinals will be the right-hander Rea. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 60-29 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - StL, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the St. Louis, the Padres now have four shutouts this season. The Cardinals have been shut out in 10 games this season.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cardinals have a 34-19 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Padres have a slight leg up on the Cardinals, as the Padres have won their last five games while the Cardinals have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cardinals are 48-14. The Padres have a 45-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd, St. Louis sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 475 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 502.
Ranking 22nd, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 318 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top half at 11th with 366.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 42-23, well-matched with the Cardinals who are 49-20 when hitting one or more homers.