Adam Morgan (4-4, 3.92 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (50-74) meet Jacob deGrom (12-6, 1.98 ERA) and the New York Mets (67-56) in the first of a four-game division series at Citizens Bank Park. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 24 and will air on CSPh and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Morgan pitched 7.0 innings, allowing two runs and striking out three in a 7-4 victory over the Blue Jays. The Mets were victorious over the Orioles 5-3 the last time deGrom pitched. He went 7.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one. Lucas Duda (.247, 57 Rs, 21 HRs, 56 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Philadelphia is a +169 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Phillies have a 45-67 record and overall money line at -313. They have not performed well against their division, earning an SU record of 21-27 and an 18-25 record when they were the underdog. Whenever an NL East opponent shows up on the calendar, the Phillies pitch better. They allow an average of 4.9 runs per game, but allow just 4.0 against teams from their own division.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .725 when playing as the favorite (50-19) and an overall money line of +861. Against teams in their division, they are 30-17 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 25-9 record. New York has been playing better lately, averaging 6.2 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.9. New York is the top hitting team in the league, converting .240 of their at-bats for hits. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.35 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.17, best in the MLB.
The Mets had the upper hand against the Phillies in their previous nine games this season, earning an 8-1 record. The Phillies will take on a right-hander (deGrom) in this game and have a 38-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Morgan will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 14-12 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets hold a 30-17 record in matchups against NL East Division rivals, while the Phillies currently sit at 21-27 in these games.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 27-20, while Philadelphia is 25-36.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 23-46 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 30-12. The Mets have a 48-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Philadelphia ranks 27th with 465 runs and New York is 23rd with 480.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 282 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 343.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 32-33. When the Mets hit at least one homer, they have a 43-23 record.