Josh Tomlin (1-1, 2.02 ERA) and the Cleveland Indians (58-66) go up against Wily Peralta (4-7, 4.48 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-72) in the first of a two-game interleague series at Progressive Field. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 25 and will air on STOh and FSWI.
In his last start, Tomlin pitched 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking two in a 3-2 victory over the Yankees. Jason Kipnis (.320, 68 Rs, 6 HRs, 39 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Brewers were also victorious the last time Peralta pitched. He did not do well, pitching 5.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out two and walking three in an 8-7 victory over the Marlins. Ryan Braun (.276, 72 Rs, 22 HRs, 73 RBIs, 18 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 Sunday.
Cleveland, a -146 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Indians have a 39-40 record and overall money line at -1,899. They come into the game with notable records of 6-3 as the favorite and 10-7 SU against the NL. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the AL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Indians don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the AL with 8.9 strikeouts per game.
On the other side, the Brewers have a subpar record of 29-46 when they are the underdog and are -1,895 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. Milwaukee has stepped up their play against AL opponents averaging an impressive 4.6 runs per game compared to their 4.0 runs per game season average.
This game will feature Peralta (RHP) on the mound against the Indians, who have a 43-39 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Tomlin will take the mound against the Brewers, who have a 38-58 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
Cleveland has won 45% (18-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 50% (29-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Indians who are heading in with an 8-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 38-10. The Indians have a 49-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Cleveland is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 493 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 495.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 309 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at second with 424.
The Indians are 43-26 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 40-27 when they hit at least one homer.