In the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (69-55) and the Houston Astros (69-57) at Yankee Stadium, Ivan Nova (5-5, 3.72 ERA) and Dallas Keuchel (14-6, 2.37 ERA) get the ball. The Yankees won the last game 1-0 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 25 and will air on YES, RTSW and MLBN.
In his last start, Nova pitched 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out four and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Indians. The Astros were unsuccessful the last time Keuchel pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out five and walking one in a 3-2 loss to the Rays. Carlos Correa (.282, 35 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Astros, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
New York, a +118 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Houston. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). The Yankees are 25-26 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +191. The Yankees rank third in the majors in home runs with 164. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.4 K's per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Astros come into this game with a win percentage of .580 when playing as the favorite (40-29) and an overall money line of +792. The Astros will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Houston's run production has dropped to 3.0 runs per game, compared to 4.8 for the duration of the season. The Astros are known for their power, smashing a league-leading 169 home runs. The Astros have racked up 95 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Houston's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 3.6. They have a WHIP of 1.18, second best in the MLB.
The Yankees are 3-2 against the Astros this season. This game will feature Keuchel (LHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 22-13 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Nova will take the mound against the Astros, who have a 44-36 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Astros lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Yankees are 21-20. The Astros are 19-21 in close games this season.
New York has won 47% (28-31) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Houston has won 57% (27-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Astros are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 48-13. The Yankees have a 47-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Houston sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 532 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 586.
Ranking ninth, Houston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 372 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 406.
The Yankees are 59-33 when they hit at least one home run. The Astros perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 57-34 record.