Chris Archer (11-9, 2.77 ERA), attemping to pick up his 200th strikeout of the season, is on the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays (62-63) as they square off against Tyler Duffey (2-1, 4.60 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (64-61) in the second of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Twins won the last game 11-7, continuing a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 26 and can be seen on SUN, FSN and MLBN.
Archer pitched 9.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out 11 and walking one in a 1-0 win over the Astros. Logan Forsythe (.278, 53 Rs, 14 HRs, 52 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run. Duffey went 7.2 innings, surrendering two runs and striking out eight in a 15-2 win over the Orioles in his most recent start. Eddie Rosario (.276, 45 Rs, 8 HRs, 32 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when Tampa Bay, a big -200 favorite, takes on Minnesota. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Rays have an overall money line of -193 and a record as the favorite of 29-26. Tampa Bay has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Rays are the top team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.9 hits per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Rays, who lead the AL in strikeouts per home game with 8.9.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 48-51 record and an overall money line of +1,451. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.
The Twins lead the season series, 3-1. The Rays have a 41-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Duffey takes the mound. Archer (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 41-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Under
Minnesota has won 48% (20-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 49% (25-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Twins are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Rays have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 12-53. The Rays have a 13-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total home runs this season, Tampa Bay ranks 17th with 116 homers and Minnesota is 16th with 118.
Tampa Bay and Minnesota both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Tampa Bay sits at 13th with 8.26 hits per game and Minnesota ranks 11th with 8.35.
Ranking 21st, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.705). Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .705.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 34-49. When the Rays allow one or more homers, they have a 29-47 record.