In the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (69-55) and the Houston Astros (69-57) at Yankee Stadium, Michael Pineda (9-7, 3.97 ERA) and Collin McHugh (13-7, 3.96 ERA) get the start. The Astros won the last game 15-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 26 and will air on YES, RTSW and MLBN.
In his most recent outing, Pineda pitched 5.2 innings, giving up five runs and striking out four in a 10-1 loss to the Twins. The Astros were unsuccessful to the Rays 1-0 the last time McHugh pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out five and walking two. Carlos Correa (.282, 35 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Astros, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a -148 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 44-29 record and have an overall money line of +291. The Yankees rank third in the majors in home runs with 164. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.4 K's per game.
Across the field, the Astros have a record of 29-28 when they are the underdog and are +692 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.5 runs per game, below their 4.2 season average. Houston is the top home-run-hitting team in the league with 169 home runs. Houston is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 95 stolen bases. Switching gears to Houston's pitching staff, they have a WHIP of 1.18 on the year, good for second in the league.
In their previous five games this season, the Yankees have a 3-2 record. The Yankees will take on a right-hander (McHugh) in this game and have a 47-42 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Pineda will take the mound against the Astros, who have a 44-37 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Astros won by a margin of 14 runs. The Yankees are 5-3 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Astros have a 5-0 record in blowouts.
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 27-20, while New York is 28-31.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Astros are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 48-13. The Yankees have a 47-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Houston sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 532 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 586.
Ranking 10th, Houston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 372 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 406.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 59-33, well-matched with the Astros who are 57-34 when hitting one or more homers.