Chris Narveson (1-0, 3.86 ERA) and Jeff Locke (6-8, 4.56 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (51-75) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-49) at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 5-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 26 and can be seen on FSFL and RTPT.
Narveson pitched 0.2 inning in his most recent start, surrendering one run and striking out one in a 2-0 defeat to the Phillies. Justin Bour (.256, 26 Rs, 12 HRs, 41 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. Locke went 5.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking one in a 6-4 defeat to the Giants in his last outing. Andrew McCutchen (.299, 72 Rs, 19 HRs, 81 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Pirates, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Pittsburgh takes on Miami as a -153 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -2,324 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 28-48. The Marlins lead the MLB in extra base hits with 297. Miami is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 94 bases.
In the other locker room, Pittsburgh is coming in with an overall money line of +1,845 and an impressive record of 59-27 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 6-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. Pittsburgh's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.16 ERA.
The Pirates lead the season series, 4-1. The Marlins have a 10-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Locke takes the mound. Narveson (LHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 13-10 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit, O/U - Over
Miami has won 38% (24-40) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Pittsburgh has won 50% (26-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Marlins have a 15-33 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 36-20. The Pirates have a 52-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 469 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top half at 13th with 528.
Miami and Pittsburgh both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Miami sits at 25th with 305 this season and Pittsburgh ranks 21st with 334.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 30-36. When the Pirates hit at least one homer, they have a 49-23 record.