Gio Gonzalez (9-6, 3.98 ERA) and Tyson Ross (8-9, 3.32 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (63-61) and the San Diego Padres (61-64) at Nationals Park. The Nationals won the last game 8-3 and Washington leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 26 and can be seen on MASN and FSSD.
Gonzalez pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking two in a 10-3 defeat to the Brewers. Yunel Escobar (.307, 59 Rs, 9 HRs, 41 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs and one RBI. Ross went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking three in a 3-2 defeat to the Braves in his most recent start.
This one isn't expected to be close when Washington, a big -186 favorite, takes on San Diego. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at six runs for this matchup. The Nationals have an overall money line of -1,204 and a record as the favorite of 50-38. The Nationals have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. Washington's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.4 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.0. The Nationals are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.1 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, San Diego has a 29-40 record and an overall money line of -498. Offensively, the Padres have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.6 during that stretch. The Padres have a dynamic offense, ranking fifth in the league with 336 extra base hits. The Padres have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.3 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Nationals lead the season series, 4-1. The Nationals have a 47-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ross takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 47-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
San Diego has won 53% (32-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 54% (30-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Nationals who are heading in with a 6-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 10-53. The Padres have a 9-46 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego ranks in the bottom half of the league at 20th when it comes to home runs, hitting 113 this season. Washington ranks in the top half at 13th with 127.
Washington and San Diego both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Washington sits at 12th with 8.33 hits per game and San Diego ranks 13th with 8.29.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.685). Washington ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .716.
The Padres are 33-45 when they allow at least one home run. The Nationals perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 27-37 record.