Patrick Corbin (3-3, 4.09 ERA) and John Lackey (10-8, 2.99 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (62-63) and the St. Louis Cardinals (80-45) at Chase Field. The Cardinals won the last game 9-1 and St. Louis leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 26 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSMW.
Corbin pitched 2.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs and striking out two in a 5-4 defeat to the Reds. Paul Goldschmidt (.330, 80 Rs, 24 HRs, 93 RBIs, 20 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one run. Lackey went 6.0 innings, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking one in a 9-3 defeat to the Padres in his last outing.
Arizona is a slim -112 favorite at home against St. Louis. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +391 and a record as the favorite of 25-23. Arizona is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 110 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, St. Louis has a 12-16 record and an overall money line of +2,360. The Cardinals allow 3.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.8 runs per game during that span. The Cardinals have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.1 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 5-0. The Diamondbacks have a 48-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lackey takes the mound. Corbin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 17-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Ari, O/U - Over
Arizona has won 53% (23-20) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, St. Louis has won 61% (27-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 13-17 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 12-41. The Cardinals have a 20-30 record when opponents outhit them.
St. Louis ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 104 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 114.
Arizona ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.35 per game this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.60.
Ranking 18th, St. Louis is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). Arizona ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .738.
When the Cardinals allow at least one home run, they are 32-30. When the Diamondbacks allow one or more homers, they have a 30-52 record.