Anthony DeSclafani (7-9, 3.97 ERA) and Zack Greinke (13-3, 1.67 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (52-72) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (68-56) at the Great American Ball Park. The Dodgers won the last game 7-4 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 12:35 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 27 and can be seen on SNLA.
DeSclafani pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering six runs and striking out four in an 11-7 defeat to the Diamondbacks. Todd Frazier (.263, 68 Rs, 29 HRs, 75 RBIs, 11 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one RBI. Greinke went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs and striking out five in a 3-1 defeat to the Astros in his last outing. Justin Turner (.303, 40 Rs, 15 HRs, 51 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Los Angeles is favored (-185) over Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of -1,957 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 24-49. Cincinnati has gone winless (0-6) as the underdog and 1-9 SU in its last 10 outings. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 113 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Los Angeles has a 61-50 record and an overall money line of -1,463. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking second in the NL. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.52 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Dodgers lead the season series, 4-1. The Reds have a 40-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Greinke takes the mound. DeSclafani (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 57-42 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
Cincinnati won its last game in a shutout, its seventh of the season. Los Angeles has been shut out nine times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Dodgers have a 17-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-50. The Dodgers have a 13-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking ninth in home runs, Cincinnati has hit 132 this season. Los Angeles ranks fifth with 150 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.36 per game. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.57.
Ranking 17th, Cincinnati is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.715). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .751.
The Dodgers are 28-39 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Reds are 23-56 when they allow at least one homer.