Chris Tillman (9-8, 4.51 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (63-63) are in Kansas City to go up against Yordano Ventura (8-7, 4.64 ERA) and the Royals (77-49) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the last of a four-game series at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The Orioles won the last game 8-5 and Kansas City leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 27 and will air on MASN, FSKC and MLBN.
In his most recent outing, Ventura pitched 6.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking one in a 6-3 victory over the Red Sox. Lorenzo Cain (.311, 78 Rs, 12 HRs, 56 RBIs, 24 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4. The Orioles were unsuccessful the last time Tillman pitched. He went 6.2 innings, allowing three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 3-2 loss to the Twins. Chris Davis (.254, 73 Rs, 35 HRs, 91 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Orioles, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Kansas City is a -140 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Royals have a winning record of 45-23 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +2,610. They are 6-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Royals are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 83 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. As for the pitching staff, the Royals rank third in the AL in home ERA with a 3.24 team average. The Royals don't give up many walks to opposing batters at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium, ranking fifth in the AL with only 2.6 walks allowed per home game.
Moving on to the away team, the Orioles come into this game with a win percentage of .407 when playing as the underdog (22-32) and an overall money line of -639. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were an underdog to win. The Orioles are known for their power, smashing 167 home runs.
The Royals are 2-1 against the Orioles this season. The Royals will take on a right-hander (Tillman) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (53-28), especially at home where they have a 30-12 record. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander Ventura. They sport a 45-50 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
Baltimore has won 57% (24-18) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 66% (31-16) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Royals have a record of 51-31 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 46-13. The Royals have a 61-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total runs this season, Kansas City ranks ninth with 553 runs and Baltimore is seventh with 557.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 285 this season. Baltimore ranks near the bottom at 26th with 301.
The Royals are 53-21 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 56-33 record.