Madison Bumgarner (15-6, 3.02 ERA) and Dan Haren (8-8, 3.76 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (67-59) and the Chicago Cubs (73-52) at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 4-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 3:45 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 27 and can be seen on CSCh and CSBy.
Bumgarner pitched 6.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 6-4 win over the Pirates. Brandon Belt (.276, 59 Rs, 17 HRs, 60 RBIs, 8 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Haren went 4.1 innings, surrendering four runs and striking out three in a 9-7 defeat to the Braves in his most recent start. Kris Bryant (.265, 71 Rs, 20 HRs, 77 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
This one isn't expected to be close when San Francisco, a big -180 favorite, takes on Chicago. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of +154 and a record as the favorite of 36-29. San Francisco is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 4-6 SU record in its last ten outings. The Giants are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.3 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Chicago has a 20-21 record and an overall money line of +1,166. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-1 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Cubs have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 6.3 during that stretch. Moving on to Chicago's pitching staff and defense, the The Cubs allow just three runs per road game, ranking them second in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cubs are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Cubs have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Giants have a 49-47 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Haren takes the mound. Bumgarner (LHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 15-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC, O/U - Over
Chicago has won 58% (29-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Francisco has won 60% (30-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cubs are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Giants have a record of 19-16 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cubs are 46-8. The Giants have a 59-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Chicago has earned 521 this season. San Francisco ranks 12th with 541 runs.
Ranking 18th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 346 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at second with 432.
The Giants are 45-23 when they hit at least one home run. The Cubs perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 49-22 record.