Williams Perez (4-4, 4.76 ERA) and Masahiro Tanaka (9-6, 3.61 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (54-73) and the New York Yankees (69-57) at Turner Field. Action begins at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on YES and FSSO.
Perez pitched 4.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs, striking out four and walking two in a 9-7 defeat to the Cubs. Freddie Freeman (.277, 48 Rs, 14 HRs, 47 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday. Tanaka went 6.0 innings, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking one in a 7-3 defeat to the Indians in his most recent start.
The odds for Atlanta and New York are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Against the AL, the Braves have a 5-9 record SU. The Braves are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 304. Atlanta's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
New York is 6-8 SU against interleague opponents. Offensively, they average 4.7 runs per game, which is good for second in the AL. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.2 per game, ranking third in the AL. The Yankees average 4.3 runs allowed per game, but does worse whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.2 against teams from the NL.
The Braves have a 45-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Tanaka takes the mound. Perez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 47-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
Atlanta has won 37% (23-39) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 46% (28-33) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in five hits, the Yankees need to step it up. The Braves have a record of 16-3 when opponents get five hits or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 37-17. The Yankees have a 47-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 464 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 589.
Ranking 14th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 359 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 410.
The Braves are 32-28 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Yankees are 59-34 when they hit at least one homer.