Matt Harvey (11-7, 2.57 ERA) takes the hill for the New York Mets (71-56) as they square off against Henry Owens (2-1, 4.50 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (58-69) in the first of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets come into this series riding a seven-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on NESN, SNY and MLBN.
Harvey pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking one in an 8-1 defeat to the Pirates. Yoenis Cespedes (.295, 81 Rs, 26 HRs, 84 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 6 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Owens went 8.0 innings, surrendering one, striking out four and walking one in a 7-2 win over the Royals in his most recent start.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a substantial -200 favorite, takes on Boston. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +1,261 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 54-19. New York is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 7.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.1 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses that come to Citi Field have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 2.96 at home. The Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.17 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 25-30 record and an overall money line of -1,626. Boston is 1-1 as the underdog and 8-6 SU against teams in the NL. Offensively, the Red Sox have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 5.4 in those contests.
The Mets have a 15-12 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Owens takes the mound. Harvey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 43-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the Chicago, the Red Sox now have six shutouts this season. The Mets have been shut out in 11 games this season.
The Mets managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are coming in with an 18-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 11-58. The Mets have a 14-46 record when opponents outhit them.
Boston ranks in the top half of the league at 15th when it comes to home runs, hitting 121 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 132.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.25 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at second with 9.20.
Ranking 22nd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.701). Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .739.
The Red Sox are 30-57 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mets are 33-40 when they allow at least one homer.