Aaron Nola (4-1, 3.59 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (50-77) meet Ian Kennedy (8-11, 4.01 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (62-65) in the first of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 28 and will air on CSPh and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Nola pitched 8.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out six and walking two in a 2-0 victory over the Marlins. Ryan Howard (.242, 47 Rs, 21 HRs, 72 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Padres were victorious over the Cardinals 8-0 the last time Kennedy pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out 10 and walking one. Matt Kemp (.266, 61 Rs, 15 HRs, 78 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Philadelphia is a +120 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Phillies have a losing record of 45-70 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -613. Philadelphia has averaged 4.9 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.8.
Across the field, the Padres have a record of 32-24 when they are favored and are -374 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were unbeaten as the favorite with a perfect 3-0 record and 7-3 SU. San Diego has been playing better lately, averaging 5.3 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. The Padres are known for their bats, hitting 340 extra base hits.
The previous three games have all gone Philadelphia's way. The Phillies will take on a right-hander (Kennedy) in this game and have a 38-61 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Nola. They sport a 47-52 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
Philadelphia won its last game in a shutout, its fifth of the season. San Diego has been shut out 16 times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Padres have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 9-47. The Phillies have a 16-59 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 28th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 99 this season. San Diego ranks 19th with 115 home runs.
Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.29 per game. Philadelphia ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.71.
Philadelphia and San Diego both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 26th with an OPS of .691 and San Diego ranks 28th with an OPS of .684.
The Padres are 33-46 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 23-56 when they allow at least one homer.