Martin Perez (1-3, 5.30 ERA) and Ubaldo Jimenez (9-8, 4.26 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Texas Rangers (66-61) and the Baltimore Orioles (63-65) at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The Rangers won the last game 4-1 and Texas leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29 and can be seen on MAS2, FSSW and MLBN.
Perez pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking three in a 4-0 defeat to the Tigers. Rougned Odor (.280, 38 Rs, 11 HRs, 43 RBIs, 5 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Jimenez went 5.2 innings, surrendering seven runs, striking out three and walking one in an 8-3 defeat to the Royals in his most recent start.
Texas is a slim -110 favorite at home against Baltimore. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The Rangers have an overall money line of +2,037 and a record as the favorite of 13-12. Texas is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. Texas is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.2 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 23-33 record and an overall money line of -608. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 2-8 record SU. The Orioles allow 4.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.6 runs per game during that span.
The Rangers lead the season series, 4-1. The Rangers have a 42-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Jimenez takes the mound. Perez (LHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 17-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
Texas has won 45% (25-30) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 56% (24-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rangers have a 24-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 10-46. The Rangers have a 15-46 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking ninth in home runs, Texas has hit 134 this season. Baltimore ranks third with 168 home runs.
Ranking ninth, Baltimore is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.62 per game. Texas ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.74.
Ranking 11th, Texas is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.731). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at 10th with an OPS of .731.
When the Orioles allow at least one home run, they are 36-46, well-matched with the Rangers who are 33-47 when allowing at least one homer.