Jordan Zimmermann (10-8, 3.54 ERA) and Tom Koehler (8-12, 3.98 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (64-63) and the Miami Marlins (52-77) at Nationals Park. The Marlins won the last game 4-3 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29 and can be seen on FSFL and MASN.
Zimmermann pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 9-5 win over the Brewers. Bryce Harper (.334, 89 Rs, 31 HRs, 76 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Koehler went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking four in a 5-2 defeat to the Pirates in his last outing.
This one isn't expected to be close when Washington, a substantial -230 favorite, takes on Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Nationals have an overall money line of -1,238 and a record as the favorite of 51-39. Washington has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 25-15 and 27-20 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Nationals have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. Washington's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.4 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 4.0 season average. The Nationals are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.1 walks per game so far this season.
In the other locker room, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -2,395 and a disappointing record of 29-50 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with an 8-15 record against NL East foes, and a 3-7 record SU. The Marlins have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 304 extra base hits. The Marlins are an excellent base stealing team with 94 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB.
The Marlins lead the season series, 6-4. The Nationals have a 48-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Koehler takes the mound. Zimmermann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 41-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Was, O/U - Over
The Marlins currently sit below .500 against the NL East Division at 18-31, and the Nationals have a 27-21 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Washington is 31-27, while Miami is 24-41.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Nationals have a 19-32 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 36-20. The Nationals have a 50-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, Miami has earned 476 this season. Washington ranks 14th with 538 runs.
Ranking 26th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 306 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 409.
The Nationals are 47-31 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 31-37 when they hit at least one homer.