Matt Garza (6-14, 5.26 ERA) and Keyvius Sampson (2-2, 5.55 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (54-74) and the Cincinnati Reds (52-75) at Miller Park. The Brewers won the last game 5-0 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29 and can be seen on FSOH and FSWI.
Garza pitched 4.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering seven runs, striking out seven and walking six in a 9-5 defeat to the Nationals. Khris Davis (.238, 35 Rs, 17 HRs, 46 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. Sampson went 4.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking two in a 12-5 defeat to the Tigers in his last outing. Joey Votto (.306, 75 Rs, 24 HRs, 62 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one stolen base.
Milwaukee is a -135 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -2,095 and a record as the favorite of 24-26. Within its division, Milwaukee has a 6-6 record as favorite and a 19-28 record SU. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.0 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
In the other locker room, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -2,157 and a disappointing record of 24-51 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-6 record when playing as the underdog. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 116 stolen bases. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are third in the NL on the road with an average of 8.1 hits allowed per away game.
The Brewers lead the season series, 6-5. The Brewers have a 38-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Sampson takes the mound. Garza (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 40-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cin, O/U - Over
The Brewers are 20-28 against their divisional rivals, while the Reds are 22-27 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 30-29, while Cincinnati is 18-29.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 40-16. The Brewers have a 39-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Milwaukee ranks 22nd with 508 runs and Cincinnati is 26th with 492.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 316 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 397.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 41-29, well-matched with the Reds who are 44-35 when hitting one or more homers.