Luis Severino (1-2, 2.74 ERA) gets the ball for the New York Yankees (70-57) as they go up against Matt Wisler (5-4, 5.43 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (54-74) in the second of a three-game series at Turner Field. The Yankees won the last game 15-4 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29 and will air on FS1.
In his most recent outing, Wisler pitched 2.2 innings, allowing seven runs, striking out two and walking three in a 9-3 loss to the Cubs. Freddie Freeman (.281, 49 Rs, 15 HRs, 49 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. The Yankees were victorious the last time Severino pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking four in a 6-2 victory over the Indians.
The Over/Under (O/U) for this game is set at seven runs and Atlanta is a considerable +194 underdog. The Braves have a losing record of 40-61 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -955. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-7. The Braves rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 306. Atlanta's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.1 during that span, compared to its 4.5 season average.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .595 when playing as the favorite (44-30) and an overall money line of +42. Against interleague competitors, they are 6-8 SU and 6-5 as the favorite. They sport the second-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. New York has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.2 in the AL with third walks per game. Playing NL opponents really brings the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allow 5.2 runs per game against teams in the NL, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.
The only other game between the two teams went New York's way. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Severino) in this game and have a 45-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Wisler will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 47-43 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Under
The Yankees won their last game by an 11-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Braves are 1-3. The Yankees are 6-4 in blowouts this season.
The Braves managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are coming in with a 6-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 10-51. The Yankees have a 13-45 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 82 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 168.
Atlanta and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at eighth with 8.54 hits per game and New York ranks sixth with 8.67.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.680). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .752.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 35-44. When the Braves allow one or more homers, they have a 21-53 record.