Mat Latos (4-9, 4.81 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (71-56) go up against Jon Lester (8-9, 3.44 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (73-54) in the second of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 4-1 and Los Angeles leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 9:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 29 and will air on WGN, SNLA and MLBN.
In his most recent outing, Latos pitched 4.2 innings, giving up four runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking one in a 10-3 loss to the Reds. Andre Ethier (.297, 44 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday. The Cubs were unsuccessful the last time Lester pitched. He pitched well, going 8.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one in a 2-1 loss to the Indians. Anthony Rizzo (.287, 73 Rs, 26 HRs, 78 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Los Angeles, a +110 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Chicago. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Dodgers have a 7-6 record and overall money line at -1,263. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-1. The Dodgers rank fifth in the majors in home runs with 153. Turning to the pitching staff, the Dodgers are third in the league in WHIP at 1.19. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Cubs come into this game with a solid win percentage of .639 when playing as the favorite (53-30) and an overall money line of +962. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 6-2 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.9 runs per game, above their 4.1 season average. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Chicago pitchers. They allowed 5.8 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 3.9. They have a WHIP of 1.20, fifth best in the MLB. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an NL-high 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers are 3-2 against the Cubs this season. The Dodgers will take on a left-hander (Lester) in this game and have a 12-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Cubs will be the right-hander Latos. They sport a 58-41 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC, O/U - Over
Los Angeles has won 51% (22-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 58% (29-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Cubs are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Dodgers have a 29-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Dodgers are 13-40. The Cubs have a 16-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 10th in home runs, Chicago has hit 133 this season. Los Angeles ranks fifth with 153 home runs.
Los Angeles and Chicago both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 11th with 8.37 hits per game and Chicago ranks 15th with 8.12.
Ranking 18th, Chicago is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.710). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .751.
The Cubs are 34-36 when they allow at least one home run. The Dodgers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 29-39 record.