Mark Buehrle (13-6, 3.60 ERA) and Alfredo Simon (11-8, 4.89 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (72-56) and the Detroit Tigers (60-68) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 15-1 and Toronto leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and can be seen on FSDT and RSN.
Buehrle pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out three and walking one in a 6-5 defeat to the Rangers. Jose Bautista (.246, 87 Rs, 31 HRs, 88 RBIs, 6 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Simon went 4.1 innings, surrendering eight runs, striking out two and walking four in an 8-7 defeat to the Angels in his last outing. Miguel Cabrera (.366, 55 Rs, 17 HRs, 65 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
This one isn't expected to be close when Toronto, a big -270 favorite, takes on Detroit. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at nine runs for this matchup. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +652 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 53-28. Toronto is an impressive 7-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 8.9 per game. Toronto is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. As for the pitchers, the Blue Jays are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Detroit is coming in with an overall money line of -839 and a disappointing record of 26-40 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.5 hits per game.
The Blue Jays have a 53-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Simon takes the mound. Buehrle (LHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have an 18-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays won their last game by a 14-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Tigers are 2-4. The Blue Jays are 2-0 in blowouts this season.
Detroit has won 49% (28-29) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 59% (33-23) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Tigers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Blue Jays have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 50-17. The Blue Jays have a 57-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 694 this season. Detroit ranks seventh with 564 runs.
Ranking 17th, Detroit is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 360 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at second with 436.
The Blue Jays are 66-29 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Tigers are 44-33 when they hit at least one homer.