Noah Syndergaard (8-6, 3.19 ERA) and the New York Mets (71-58) meet Wade Miley (10-10, 4.51 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (60-69) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Citi Field. The Red Sox won the last game 3-1 and Boston leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and will air on NESN and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Syndergaard pitched 5.0 innings, allowing two runs (two unearned), striking out nine and walking two in a 6-5 victory over the Phillies. Lucas Duda (.247, 57 Rs, 21 HRs, 56 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. The Red Sox were unsuccessful to the White Sox 5-4 the last time Miley pitched. He went 6.2 innings, giving up five runs, striking out three and walking one. David Ortiz (.265, 56 Rs, 27 HRs, 77 RBIs) went 1 for 1 yesterday.
New York is a heavy -180 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is seven runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 55-20 record and have an overall money line of +1,166. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-1). Over their past 10 games, New York's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 8.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.1. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fifth in the NL with an average of 3.2 walks per game. As for the pitching staff, the Mets rank third in the AL in home ERA with a 3.00 team average. The Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.17 WHIP.
Switching gears, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .464 when playing as the underdog (26-30) and an overall money line of -1,442. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have played well as the underdog with a 5-2 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the Red Sox have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL. During those games, they averaged five runs per game, above their 4.5 season average. Boston's pitching staff has allowed an average of 3.5 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 4.8.
So far this season, the Red Sox are 2-0 against the Mets. The Mets will take on a left-hander (Miley) in this game and have a 15-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Syndergaard. They sport a 44-48 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
Boston has won 46% (29-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 57% (28-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Red Sox are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded three strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 6-1 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 11-58. The Mets have a 14-48 record when opponents outhit them.
New York and Boston both rank in the top half of the league in home runs. New York sits at 11th with 132 home runs this season and Boston ranks 15th with 125.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.31 per game. Boston ranks in the top five at second with 9.20.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.700). Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .738.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 30-57. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 33-42 record.