Julio Teheran (9-6, 4.29 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (13-2, 4.00 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (54-75) and the New York Yankees (71-57) at Turner Field. The Yankees won the last game 3-1 and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and can be seen on FSSO.
Teheran pitched 7.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 5-3 win over the Rockies. Kelly Johnson (.259, 29 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Eovaldi went 8.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking three in a 1-0 defeat to the Astros in his most recent start.
New York is favored (-180) over Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of -1,055 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 40-62. Atlanta has gone winless (0-7) as the underdog and 1-9 SU in its last 10 outings. The Braves are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 307. Atlanta's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 7.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.6.
In the other locker room, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +142 and an impressive record of 45-30 as the favorite. New York is 7-5 as the favorite and 7-8 SU against teams in the NL. Offensively, they average 4.8 runs per game, which is good for second in the AL. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking third in the AL. The Yankees average 4.3 runs allowed per game, but does worse whenever an NL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.1 against teams from the NL.
The Yankees have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Braves have a 45-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Eovaldi takes the mound. Teheran (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 48-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Under
Atlanta has won 37% (23-39) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 46% (28-33) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are heading in with a 21-19 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 10-51. The Yankees have a 14-45 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 82 this season. New York ranks fourth with 168 home runs.
Atlanta and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at eighth with 8.52 hits per game and New York ranks sixth with 8.72.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.679). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .751.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 35-44. When the Braves allow one or more homers, they have a 21-53 record.