Charlie Morton (8-5, 4.20 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (79-49) meet Jorge De La Rosa (7-6, 4.61 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (51-76) in the last of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 4-3 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and will air on RTRM and RTPT.
In his last start, Morton pitched 5.1 innings, allowing four runs (one unearned) and striking out three in a 5-2 loss to the Marlins. Andrew McCutchen (.305, 75 Rs, 20 HRs, 85 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. The Rockies were also unsuccessful the last time De La Rosa pitched. He did not do well, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out three and walking four in a 5-3 loss to the Braves. Carlos Gonzalez (.271, 69 Rs, 31 HRs, 72 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Pittsburgh is a heavy -190 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Pirates perform well as a favorite with a 62-28 record and have an overall money line of +2,006. They are 8-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Pirates come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.3 runs per game. The Pirates are an exceptional hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. Pittsburgh's pitching staff performs very well on its own field, recording a low 2.89 team ERA at home. The Pirates don't give up many hits to opposing batters at PNC Park, ranking fifth in the NL with only 8.3 hits allowed per home game.
Switching gears, the Rockies come into this game with a weak win percentage of .398 when playing as the underdog (37-56) and an overall money line of -1,652. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Colorado pitchers. They allowed 6.8 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 5.3.
So far this season, the Pirates are 2-0 against the Rockies. The Pirates will take on a left-hander (De La Rosa) in this game and have a 14-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Morton will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 46-55 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Rockies lost by a margin of one run. The Pirates are 29-15 in one-run games. The Rockies have a 15-20 record in close games.
Colorado has won 44% (25-32) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Pittsburgh has won 52% (28-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rockies managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Pirates who are heading in with a 31-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 7-55. The Pirates have an 18-37 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Pittsburgh has hit 110 this season. Colorado ranks seventh with 147 home runs.
Pittsburgh and Colorado both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Pittsburgh sits at fourth with 9.09 hits per game and Colorado ranks third with 9.13.
Ranking 13th, Pittsburgh is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.723). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .755.
When the Rockies allow at least one home run, they are 26-57. When the Pirates allow one or more homers, they have a 33-30 record.