Derek Holland (1-1, 4.72 ERA) and Miguel Gonzalez (9-10, 4.78 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Texas Rangers (67-61) and the Baltimore Orioles (63-66) at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The Rangers won the last game 4-3 and Texas leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and can be seen on MAS2 and FSSW.
Holland pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking one in a 6-5 defeat to the Blue Jays. Rougned Odor (.280, 38 Rs, 11 HRs, 43 RBIs, 5 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Gonzalez went 4.1 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out one and walking three in a 3-2 defeat to the Royals in his most recent start. Chris Davis (.251, 73 Rs, 35 HRs, 92 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Texas is a -125 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Rangers have an overall money line of +2,137 and a record as the favorite of 14-12. Texas is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. Texas is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.1 per game. Texas's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.4 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.7.
In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 23-34 record and an overall money line of -708. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Orioles have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.4 runs per game by averaging 3.2 during that stretch. The Orioles allow 4.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.5 runs per game during that span.
The Rangers have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Rangers have a 43-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gonzalez takes the mound. Holland (LHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 17-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tex, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Orioles lost by a margin of one run. The Rangers are 23-20 in one-run games. The Orioles have a 17-24 record in close games.
The Rangers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have a 17-24 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Rangers have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Rangers have won their last three games while the Orioles have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 46-13. The Rangers have a 50-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking ninth in runs, Baltimore has earned 564 this season. Texas ranks fifth with 569 runs.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 310 this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 15th with 366.
The Rangers are 51-26 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 56-35 record.