Wily Peralta (4-8, 4.55 ERA) and John Lamb (0-2, 6.06 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (54-75) and the Cincinnati Reds (53-75) at Miller Park. The Reds won the last game 12-9 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and can be seen on FSOH and FSWI.
Peralta pitched 2.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs (two unearned), striking out one and walking two in an 11-6 defeat to the Indians. Ryan Braun (.276, 74 Rs, 23 HRs, 76 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one RBI. Lamb went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking three in a 5-1 defeat to the Dodgers in his last outing. Joey Votto (.309, 76 Rs, 25 HRs, 65 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Milwaukee is a -150 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -1,995 and a record as the favorite of 25-26. Within its division, Milwaukee has a 7-6 record as favorite and a 20-28 record SU. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
Over in the other dugout, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -2,257 and a disappointing record of 24-52 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-7 record when playing as the underdog. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 116 stolen bases. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are third in the NL on the road with an average of 8.1 hits allowed per away game.
The Brewers have a 15-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lamb takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 40-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mil, O/U - Over
The Brewers are 20-29 against their divisional rivals, while the Reds are 23-27 against their division.
Cincinnati has won 38% (18-29) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 51% (30-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Reds are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 12 runs. The Brewers have a 0-5 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 41-16. The Brewers have a 39-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Milwaukee and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Milwaukee sits at 21st with 517 runs this season and Cincinnati ranks 24th with 504.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 320 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 400.
The Brewers are 41-29 when they hit at least one home run. The Reds perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 45-35 record.