Alex Wood (9-8, 3.70 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (72-56) meet Jake Arrieta (16-6, 2.22 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (73-55) in the last of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 5-2, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and will air on ESPN.
In his last start, Wood pitched 5.2 innings, giving up one run, striking out four and walking three in a 5-1 victory over the Reds. Andre Ethier (.299, 45 Rs, 12 HRs, 41 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run and two RBIs. The Cubs were victorious over the Giants 8-5 the last time Arrieta pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs (one unearned), striking out eight and walking one. Kris Bryant (.263, 72 Rs, 20 HRs, 77 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Los Angeles is a slight underdog (+105) and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Dodgers are 7-6 as the underdog and have an overall money line of -1,163. With a 0-1 record as the underdog, they have had a tough time over their last 10 games. The Dodgers will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Los Angeles has only averaged 2.8 runs per game compared to the 4.1 they've averaged on the season. Los Angeles's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 2.6 during that span, compared to its 3.6 season average. The Dodgers don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking third in the league with a 1.19 WHIP. An area where the Dodgers are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.6 K's per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Cubs come into this game with a solid win percentage of .639 when playing as the favorite (53-30) and an overall money line of +862. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 6-4 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 6-1 record. Chicago has been playing better lately, averaging 5.2 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. Chicago's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.2 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 3.9. They have a WHIP of 1.20 on the year, good for fifth in the league. The Chicago pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an NL-best 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers have gotten the best of the Cubs in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. This game will feature Arrieta (RHP) on the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 59-42 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Cubs will be the left-hander Wood. They sport a 15-13 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC, O/U - Over
Los Angeles has won 52% (23-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 57% (29-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cubs are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 10-15 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Dodgers are 13-40. The Cubs have a 16-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago ranks in the top half of the league at 12th when it comes to home runs, hitting 133 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 153.
Los Angeles and Chicago both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 11th with 8.35 hits per game and Chicago ranks 15th with 8.08.
Ranking 19th, Chicago is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.709). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .751.
When the Cubs allow at least one home run, they are 34-36, well-matched with the Dodgers who are 29-39 when allowing at least one homer.