In the first of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (54-75) and the Miami Marlins (52-79) at Turner Field, Mike Foltynewicz (4-6, 5.71 ERA) and Chris Narveson (1-1, 7.04 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 31 and will air on FSFL and SPSO.
In his most recent outing, Foltynewicz pitched 5.0 innings, giving up zero runs (four unearned), striking out three and walking one in a 5-1 loss to the Rockies. Kelly Johnson (.259, 29 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The Marlins were unsuccessful to the Pirates 7-2 the last time Narveson pitched. He went 3.2 innings, allowing seven runs, striking out three and walking three. Justin Bour (.250, 28 Rs, 14 HRs, 45 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Atlanta, a -125 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Braves have a 14-12 record and overall money line at -1,255. They have an SU record of 25-25 against teams in their division and an 8-8 record when they were the favorite in those games. Within their division, Atlanta's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 4.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.6. The Braves lead the majors in extra base hits with 307. Don't expect the Atlanta hitters to swing wildly. They average an NL-low 6.9 strikeouts per game. Atlanta's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Braves have given up an average of 8.2 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.7 runs per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins come into this game with a weak win percentage of .366 when playing as the underdog (30-52) and an overall money line of -2,354. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-5 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.2 runs per game, below their 3.7 season average. Miami is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 311 extra base hits. The Marlins have racked up 94 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
The Braves had the upper hand against the Marlins in their previous 13 games this season, earning a 10-3 record. The Braves will take on a left-hander (Narveson) in this game and have a 9-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Foltynewicz. They sport a 42-62 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Mia, O/U - Under
The Braves are 25-25 against other teams in their division, while the Marlins are 18-33 against their rivals.
Atlanta earned its sixth shutout of the season in its last game. Miami has been shut out 10 times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 10-51. The Marlins have an 11-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 82 this season. Miami ranks 29th with 96 home runs.
Atlanta and Miami both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at eighth with 8.52 hits per game and Miami ranks seventh with 8.53.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.679). Miami ranks near the bottom at 29th with an OPS of .682.
The Marlins are 24-50 when they allow at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 21-53 record.