Eduardo Rodriguez (7-5, 4.39 ERA) and Ivan Nova (5-6, 4.50 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (60-70) and the New York Yankees (72-57) at Fenway Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 31 and can be seen on YES, NESN and ESPN.
Rodriguez pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs (two unearned) and striking out one in an 8-6 defeat to the Royals. David Ortiz (.264, 57 Rs, 28 HRs, 79 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Nova went 4.0 innings, surrendering seven runs, striking out one and walking four in a 15-1 defeat to the Astros in his last outing. Alex Rodriguez (.257, 69 Rs, 26 HRs, 71 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday with two RBIs.
Boston is a -125 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,362 and a record as the favorite of 33-39. Boston has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 10-17 and 20-30 as the favorite and SU respectively. The Red Sox lead the AL in hits at home with a phenomenal 10.1 per game. Boston's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.6 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.8.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 25-27 record and an overall money line of +342. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-1 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, they average 4.9 runs per game, which is good for second in the AL. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.3 per game, ranking third in the AL.
The Yankees lead the season series, 8-4. The Red Sox have a 45-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nova takes the mound. Rodriguez (LHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 22-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Red Sox are 20-30 against their divisional rivals, while the Yankees are 28-22 against their division.
Boston has won 45% (29-35) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 47% (29-33) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are heading in with a 9-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 49-7. The Yankees have a 49-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top five of the league based on total runs this season, Boston ranks third with 589 runs and New York is second with 627.
Ranking 11th, Boston is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 379 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 434.
The Red Sox are 45-40 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Yankees are 61-34 when they hit at least one homer.