Wei-Yin Chen (8-6, 3.17 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (63-67) square off against Chris Archer (11-10, 2.88 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (64-66) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a three-game series at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 31 and can be seen on SUN and MASN.
Chen pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking one in an 8-5 win over the Royals. Chris Davis (.251, 73 Rs, 35 HRs, 92 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Archer went 6.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out 12 and walking one in a 5-3 defeat to the Twins in his last outing. Logan Forsythe (.277, 55 Rs, 15 HRs, 53 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rays, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is a narrow -115 favorite over Baltimore. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Orioles have an overall money line of -826 and a record as the underdog of 23-34. Baltimore has recorded a disappointing 1-4 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.4 runs per game. The Orioles are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 169. As for the Baltimore defense and pitching staff, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Orioles. The 4.0 runs that Baltimore's pitchers allow per game makes them the fourth-ranked staff in the AL.
In games where it is the favorite, Tampa Bay has a 31-29 record and an overall money line of -510. They are 10-11 as the favorite against AL East opponents, and 24-26 SU. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.4 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Orioles lead the season series, 7-5. The Orioles have a 46-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Archer takes the mound. Chen (LHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 23-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Under
The Orioles hold a 26-24 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Rays' record in these matchups is 24-26.
Tampa Bay has won 48% (25-27) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 56% (24-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 38-42 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 44-18. The Orioles have a 46-13 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 483 this season. Baltimore ranks ninth with 564 runs.
Baltimore and Tampa Bay both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Baltimore sits at 25th with 310 this season and Tampa Bay ranks 21st with 351.
The Orioles are 56-35 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rays are 47-35 when they hit at least one homer.