This game could be low scoring as Dallas Keuchel (15-6, 2.28 ERA) and the Houston Astros (72-59) go up against Vidal Nuno (0-2, 2.88 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (61-70) in the first of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 31 and will air on RTNW and RTSW.
In his last start, Keuchel pitched 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out nine in a 15-1 victory over the Yankees. George Springer (.264, 43 Rs, 13 HRs, 29 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. The Mariners were unsuccessful to the Athletics 8-2 the last time Nuno pitched. He went 1.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out one and walking one. Nelson Cruz (.314, 77 Rs, 39 HRs, 82 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Houston is a heavy -210 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at seven runs. The Astros are 42-31 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +765. They have an SU record of 28-23 against teams in their division and a 12-15 record when they were the favorite in those games. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 98 steals. Houston's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an AL-low 3.25 team ERA. The Astros are second in the league in WHIP at 1.17. An area where the Astros are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 7.8 K's per game.
Across the field, the Mariners have a record of 24-28 when they are the underdog and are -1,601 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have a poor 0-2 record when they were an underdog to win. The Mariners are known for their power, smashing 156 home runs. Seattle's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.8 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.6.
The Astros had the upper hand against the Mariners in their previous 13 games this season, earning a 9-4 record. The Astros will take on a left-hander (Nuno) in this game and have a 25-20 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the left-hander Keuchel. They sport a 16-24 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Astros are 28-23 against their divisional rivals, while the Mariners are 26-25 against their division.
For the 10th time this season, the Mariners registered at least two errors in a game.
The Astros managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are coming in with a 27-19 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Astros are 13-42. The Mariners have a 16-46 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston and Seattle both rank in the top five of the league in home runs. Houston sits at second with 176 home runs this season and Seattle ranks fifth with 156.
Houston and Seattle both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Houston sits at 15th with 8.05 hits per game and Seattle ranks 11th with 8.38.
Ranking 16th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). Houston ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .728.
When the Mariners allow at least one home run, they are 30-57, well-matched with the Astros who are 25-40 when allowing at least one homer.