Jimmy Nelson (10-10, 3.81 ERA) and Gerrit Cole (15-7, 2.44 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (55-75) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (79-50) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 1 and can be seen on FSWI and RTPT.
Nelson pitched 3.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out four and walking eight in a 6-2 defeat to the Indians. Ryan Braun (.278, 75 Rs, 24 HRs, 77 RBIs, 18 SBs) had another good game Sunday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Cole went 7.1 innings, surrendering one run and striking out four in a 2-1 win over the Marlins in his last outing. Andrew McCutchen (.305, 75 Rs, 20 HRs, 85 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday.
The odds for Milwaukee and Pittsburgh are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. Within its division, Milwaukee has a record of 21-29 SU. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Milwaukee's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.4 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
The Pirates are 21-29 against fellow NL Central members. Offensively, they average 4.2 runs per game, which is good for fifth in the NL. The Pirates are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the NL with 9.1 hits per game. Moving on to Pittsburgh's pitching staff and defense, the The Pirates allow just 3.6 runs per game, ranking them third in the NL. The Pirates have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 7.8 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Brewers have a 39-61 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cole takes the mound. Nelson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a very good 64-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Pit
The Brewers and the Pirates both sit at records of 21-29 this season against teams in the NL Central Division.
When leading after 7 innings, Pittsburgh is 28-26, while Milwaukee is 30-29.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Pirates are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 40-10. The Pirates have a 55-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Milwaukee has earned 521 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 14th with 546 runs.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 321 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 354.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 42-29. When the Pirates hit at least one homer, they have a 52-23 record.