In the second of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs (74-55) and the Cincinnati Reds (53-76) at Wrigley Field, Dan Haren (8-9, 3.90 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (7-10, 3.84 ERA) get the start. The Reds won the last game 13-6 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 8:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 1 and will air on WGN and FSOH.
In his most recent outing, Haren pitched 6.1 innings, allowing five runs, striking out four and walking three in a 9-1 loss to the Giants. Anthony Rizzo (.284, 73 Rs, 26 HRs, 78 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Reds were also unsuccessful the last time DeSclafani pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one in a 1-0 loss to the Dodgers. Joey Votto (.312, 76 Rs, 25 HRs, 65 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Reds, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Chicago is a -150 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Cubs have a winning record of 54-31 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +837. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-1). They have been very patient at the plate, leading the NL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Chicago's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Cubs have a team ERA of 3.56, one of the lowest in their league. The Cubs don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .321 when playing as the underdog (25-53) and an overall money line of -2,235. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-6 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 2-8. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 116 stolen bases. Cincinnati's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.5. They also average just 8.2 hits allowed per road game, fourth-best in the NL.
The Cubs have gotten the best of the Reds in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-4. This game will feature DeSclafani (RHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have a 58-42 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Haren. They sport a 41-57 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC
The Cubs are 29-22 against their divisional rivals, while the Reds are 23-28 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Chicago is 29-22, while Cincinnati is 18-29.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cubs have a 15-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 41-16. The Cubs have a 47-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Cincinnati sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 505 this season. Chicago ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 527.
Ranking seventh, Cincinnati is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 401 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at third with 442.
When the Cubs hit at least one home run, they are 50-23. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 45-35 record.