In the last of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (75-57) and the Cleveland Indians (64-67) at the Rogers Centre, R.A. Dickey (9-10, 4.25 ERA) and Trevor Bauer (10-10, 4.31 ERA) get the start. The Blue Jays won the last game 5-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:07 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 2 and will air on STOh and RSN.
In his most recent outing, Dickey pitched 6.2 innings, giving up three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 5-3 victory over the Tigers. Josh Donaldson (.301, 102 Rs, 36 HRs, 108 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. The Indians were also victorious the last time Bauer pitched. He pitched well, going 8.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out seven and walking three in a 3-1 victory over the Angels. Michael Brantley (.323, 61 Rs, 12 HRs, 74 RBIs, 14 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Indians, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Toronto is a considerable -181 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 55-29 record and have an overall money line of +631. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (7-2). The Blue Jays have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Blue Jays are a power hitting team with an MLB-best 185 home runs. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Blue Jays rank third in the AL in home ERA with a 3.19 team average. The Blue Jays don't give up many hits to opposing batters at the Rogers Centre, ranking second in the AL with only 7.7 hits allowed per home game.
Moving on to the away team, the Indians come into this game with a win percentage of .435 when playing as the underdog (20-26) and an overall money line of -1,295. Cleveland has been playing better lately, averaging 5.5 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. The Indians average just 7.2 strikeouts per road game, one of the lowest marks in the AL. Cleveland's pitching staff has allowed an average of 3.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 4.1. They have a WHIP of 1.19, third best in the MLB.
This game will feature Bauer (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 55-45 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Dickey will take the mound against the Indians, who have a 47-39 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
Cleveland has won 48% (20-22) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 59% (35-24) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Indians are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Blue Jays have a record of 16-9 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Indians are 54-11. The Blue Jays have a 59-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 725 this season. Cleveland ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 537.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 451 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at second with 447.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 69-29, well-matched with the Indians who are 47-27 when hitting one or more homers.