Scott Kazmir (7-9, 2.45 ERA) gets the start for the Houston Astros (73-60) as they go up against Taijuan Walker (10-7, 4.53 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (62-71) in the last of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. The Mariners won the last game 7-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 2 and will air on RTNW and RTSW.
In his most recent outing, Kazmir pitched 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 3-0 loss to the Twins. Carlos Correa (.279, 38 Rs, 16 HRs, 45 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. The Mariners were victorious over the White Sox 2-0 the last time Walker pitched. He went 6.1 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking one.
Houston is a -165 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 43-31 record and overall money line at +865. They have an SU record of 29-23 against teams in their division and a 13-15 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Astros are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 100 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Houston's pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an AL-low 3.26 team ERA. The Astros are second in the league in WHIP at 1.17. An area where the Astros are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 7.8 K's per game.
On the other side, the Mariners have a record of 24-30 when they are the underdog and are -1,801 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have a poor 0-3 record when they were an underdog to win. Seattle has been playing better lately, averaging 4.9 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.9. The Mariners are known for their power, smashing 161 home runs.
The Astros have gotten the best of the Mariners in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-5. This game will feature Walker (RHP) on the mound against the Astros, who have a 47-39 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Kazmir will take the mound against the Mariners, who have a 16-26 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - Hou, O/U - Over
The Astros are 29-24 against their divisional rivals, while the Mariners are 27-26 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 30-21, while Seattle is 19-31.
The Mariners managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Astros who are heading in with a 37-19 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 39-18. The Astros have a 52-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Seattle sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 519 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 575.
Ranking 11th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 384 this season. Houston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 398.
The Astros are 60-36 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mariners are 53-41 when they hit at least one homer.