Jason Hammel (7-6, 3.42 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (74-56) go up against Raisel Iglesias (3-6, 3.92 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (54-76) in the last of a three-game division series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 5-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 2 and will air on CSCh.
In his last start, Hammel pitched 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out five and walking three in a 4-1 loss to the Dodgers. Kris Bryant (.265, 73 Rs, 21 HRs, 80 RBIs, 12 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one RBI. The Reds were also unsuccessful the last time Iglesias pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out 10 and walking two in a 5-0 loss to the Brewers. Joey Votto (.312, 78 Rs, 25 HRs, 65 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two runs.
Chicago is a -157 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Cubs perform well as a favorite with a 54-32 record and have an overall money line of +632. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (5-2). The Cubs typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 3.4 walks per game. Chicago's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Cubs have a team ERA of 3.59, one of the lowest in their league. The Cubs don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .329 when playing as the underdog (26-53) and an overall money line of -2,045. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 3-7 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-5 record. Cincinnati has been playing better lately, averaging 5.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.0. The Reds have racked up 116 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league. Cincinnati's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.5. They also average just 8.2 hits allowed per road game, fourth-best in the NL.
The Cubs have gotten the best of the Reds in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-5. This game will feature Iglesias (RHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have a 58-43 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Hammel. They sport a 42-57 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC
The Cubs hold a 29-23 record this season against teams in the NL Central Division. The Reds' record in these matchups is 24-28.
Chicago won its last game in a shutout, its 15th of the season. Cincinnati has been shut out 12 times this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Cubs are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 7-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-54. The Cubs have a 16-42 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago ranks in the top half of the league at 11th when it comes to home runs, hitting 136 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 137.
Ranking 15th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.11 per game. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.58.
Chicago and Cincinnati both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Chicago sits at 19th with an OPS of .712 and Cincinnati ranks 18th with an OPS of .713.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 24-59. When the Cubs allow one or more homers, they have a 34-37 record.