Ian Kennedy (8-12, 3.94 ERA) and Cole Hamels (8-8, 3.69 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Diego Padres (64-68) and the Texas Rangers (69-62) at Petco Park. The Rangers won the last game 8-6 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 2 and can be seen on FSSD and FSSW.
Kennedy pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking five in a 7-1 defeat to the Phillies. Matt Kemp (.269, 65 Rs, 17 HRs, 85 RBIs, 11 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. Hamels went 8.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out 10 and walking four in a 4-1 win over the Orioles in his last outing. Rougned Odor (.279, 39 Rs, 11 HRs, 43 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rangers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Texas takes on San Diego as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at six runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -555 and a record as the underdog of 30-41. In interleague play, they have a solid 6-4 record as the underdog but a 7-11 SU. The Padres have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.2 runs per game. They average 4.1 runs per game on the season. The Padres are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 359. San Diego's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 5.8 against AL teams, compared to its 4.4 season average. The Padres are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.3 hits per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 9.0.
In games where it is the favorite, Texas has a 15-12 record and an overall money line of +2,245. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 7-3 SU record over the same span. Texas's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL at pitching on the road, with a 4.05 ERA.
The Padres lead the season series, 3-2. The Padres have a 15-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hamels takes the mound. Kennedy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rangers, who have a 45-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 34-31, while Texas is 26-30.
The Rangers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Padres have a record of 14-8 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 48-14. The Rangers have a 51-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 542 this season. Texas ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 583.
Ranking 22nd, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 336 this season. Texas ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 373.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 44-26, well-matched with the Rangers who are 52-26 when hitting one or more homers.