Kyle Gibson (9-9, 3.82 ERA) and Jeff Samardzija (8-11, 4.85 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Minnesota Twins (69-63) and the Chicago White Sox (61-70) at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 3-0 and Minnesota leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 3 and can be seen on WGN.
Gibson pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking three in a 3-0 win over the Astros. Samardzija went 5.2 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out eight and walking three in a 7-6 defeat to the Mariners in his most recent start. Jose Abreu (.288, 76 Rs, 24 HRs, 80 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Minnesota is a -133 favorite against Chicago and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have recorded an overall money line of +2,031 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 16-10. Within its division, Minnesota has a 7-3 record as favorite and a 27-25 record SU. The Twins have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the AL in home offense with 4.8 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Twins are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Chicago has a 30-43 record and an overall money line of -1,186. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-4 record when playing as the underdog. The White Sox are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.0 hits per road game. When it comes to issuing walks on the road, the White Sox have the fewest in the AL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game. The White Sox have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.5 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Twins have controlled the season series, 11-4. The Twins have a 44-42 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Samardzija takes the mound. Gibson (RHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have a 47-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - Min, O/U - Over
The White Sox are struggling at 20-33 in their division, while the Twins sit at 28-25.
Chicago has won 50% (27-27) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Minnesota has won 52% (24-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the White Sox are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have an 11-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the White Sox are 10-53. The Twins have a 14-54 record when opponents outhit them.
Chicago ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 106 this season. Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 126.
Ranking 12th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.37 per game. Chicago ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.63.
Minnesota and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Minnesota sits at 21st with an OPS of .708 and Chicago ranks 29th with an OPS of .685.
The White Sox are 29-53 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Twins are 37-50 when they allow at least one homer.