Edinson Volquez (12-7, 3.27 ERA) and Matt Boyd (1-5, 7.12 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Kansas City Royals (81-51) and the Detroit Tigers (61-71) at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 12-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 3 and can be seen on FSKC, FSDT and MLBN.
Volquez pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering one, striking out five and walking two in a 3-2 win over the Rays. Lorenzo Cain (.313, 83 Rs, 13 HRs, 61 RBIs, 26 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Boyd went 6.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out four and walking three in a 5-3 defeat to the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Miguel Cabrera (.359, 55 Rs, 17 HRs, 67 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
This one isn't expected to be close when Kansas City, a big -190 favorite, takes on Detroit. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Royals have recorded an overall money line of +2,594 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 48-25. Kansas City is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Royals have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the AL in offense with 4.4 runs per game. The Royals are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. Kansas City is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 88 bases.
As for their opponent, Detroit is coming in with an overall money line of -974 and a disappointing record of 27-43 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-8 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Tigers have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.3 runs per game by averaging 3.2 during that stretch. The Tigers are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 9.3 hits per road game. The Tigers allow 5.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.2 runs per game during that span.
The Royals lead the season series, 8-7. The Royals have a 25-21 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Boyd takes the mound. Volquez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Tigers, who have a 43-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games.
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road.
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
The Royals sit at 33-20 against their divisional rivals, while the Tigers are 31-21.
When leading after 7 innings, Kansas City is 31-16, while Detroit is 28-31.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Tigers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Royals have a 28-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 51-17. The Royals have a 64-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Detroit sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 574 this season. Kansas City ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 586.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 302 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 366.
When the Royals hit at least one home run, they are 56-22. When the Tigers hit at least one homer, they have a 45-33 record.