Chris Rusin (4-7, 4.94 ERA) and Ryan Vogelsong (9-10, 4.19 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Colorado Rockies (54-78) and the San Francisco Giants (69-64) at Coors Field. The Giants come into this series hoping to snap a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 3 and can be seen on RTRM, CSBy and MLBN.
Rusin pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking three in a 4-3 defeat to the Pirates. Carlos Gonzalez (.270, 72 Rs, 33 HRs, 80 RBIs, 2 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, two home runs, and seven RBIs. Vogelsong went 4.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-0 defeat to the Cardinals in his most recent start. Buster Posey (.325, 63 Rs, 16 HRs, 80 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 4 yesterday.
San Francisco takes on Colorado as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 11 runs. The Rockies have recorded an overall money line of -1,576 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 39-59. Colorado has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 16-25 and 20-33 as the underdog and SU respectively. The Rockies have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in home offense with 5.4 runs per home game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with an impressive 10.5 per game. Colorado's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.7 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.3.
In games where it is the favorite, San Francisco has a 39-29 record and an overall money line of +54. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 3-7 SU record over the same span. Offensively, they average 4.3 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the NL. The Giants are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the NL with 9.2 hits per game. San Francisco is excellent at not striking out with just 7.1 per game, ranking second in the NL. When it comes to issuing walks, the Giants have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Rockies lead the season series, 7-5. The Rockies have a 49-56 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Vogelsong takes the mound. Rusin (LHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 17-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Colorado.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing San Francisco.
In their last game, the Giants lost by a margin of one run. The Rockies are 16-20 in one-run games. The Giants have a 16-21 record in close games.
The Rockies are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Giants have a record of 10-11 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-42. The Rockies have a 7-55 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 24th in home runs, San Francisco has hit 109 this season. Colorado ranks seventh with 154 home runs.
Colorado and San Francisco both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Colorado sits at second with 9.22 hits per game and San Francisco ranks third with 9.19.
Ranking 11th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.729). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .760.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 30-47, well-matched with the Rockies who are 27-59 when allowing at least one homer.