In the first of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (61-72) and the Philadelphia Phillies (53-81) at Fenway Park, Joe Kelly (8-6, 4.94 ERA) and Adam Morgan (5-4, 4.03 ERA) get the start. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 4 and will air on CSPh and NESN.
In his last start, Kelly pitched 7.1 innings, giving up one run, striking out two and walking two in a 3-1 victory over the Mets. David Ortiz (.265, 58 Rs, 29 HRs, 81 RBIs) went 1 for 3 Wednesday with one RBI. The Phillies were also victorious the last time Morgan pitched. He pitched well, going 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs (two unearned) and striking out three in a 4-3 victory over the Padres. Jeff Francoeur (.271, 30 Rs, 12 HRs, 43 RBIs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday with two runs and one RBI.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment. The Red Sox have an SU record of 10-7 against the NL. The Red Sox come into the game with the third-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Red Sox are a stellar hitting team with 9.2 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. Don't expect the Boston hitters to swing wildly. They average only 6.9 strikeouts per game.
When playing Interleague competitors, the Phillies have an 8-9 record SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.5 runs per game, above their 3.9 season average. One of the top road hitting teams in the NL are the Phillies, who average 8.9 hits in games away from home. Philadelphia's pitching staff has allowed an average of 7.3 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 5.1.
The Red Sox are 2-1 against the Phillies this season. This game will feature Morgan (LHP) on the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 15-21 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Phillies will be the right-hander Kelly. They sport a 40-64 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Bos
Philadelphia has won 42% (27-38) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Boston has won 45% (30-36) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 26-38 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 31-13. The Red Sox have a 49-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 520 this season. Boston ranks fourth with 602 runs.
Ranking 26th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 315 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 12th with 387.
The Red Sox are 46-41 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 35-38 when they hit at least one homer.