Luis Severino (2-2, 2.17 ERA) and the New York Yankees (74-58) square off against Jake Odorizzi (6-7, 3.18 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (66-67) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 4 and can be seen on SUN and YES.
Severino pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out five and walking three in a 3-1 win over the Braves. Alex Rodriguez (.256, 71 Rs, 26 HRs, 73 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 Wednesday with one run and two RBIs. Odorizzi went 4.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out five and walking two in a 6-3 defeat to the Royals in his most recent start. Logan Forsythe (.291, 59 Rs, 15 HRs, 53 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rays, going 3 for 3 Wednesday.
The odds for New York and Tampa Bay are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable as of now. Within its division, New York has a record of 30-23 SU. The Yankees have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.9 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 177. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who rank fourth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
The Rays are 26-27 against fellow AL East members. Offensively, the Rays have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.8 during that stretch. The Rays allow 3.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.1 runs per game during that span. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 7.9 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Yankees lead the season series, 8-5. The Yankees have a 51-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Odorizzi takes the mound. Severino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 42-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY
The Yankees are 30-23 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 26-27 against their division.
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 27-27, while New York is 30-34.
The Rays are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 36-17 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 46-19. The Yankees have a 50-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Tampa Bay sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 506 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 646.
Ranking 19th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 361 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 448.
The Yankees are 63-34 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rays are 49-36 when they hit at least one homer.