Corey Kluber (8-13, 3.41 ERA), seeking his 200th strikeout of the season, gets the ball for the Cleveland Indians (64-68) as they go up against Kyle Lobstein (3-5, 4.34 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (61-72) in the first of a three-game series at Comerica Park. The game starts at 7:08 p.m. ET on Friday, Sep. 4 and will air on STOh and FSDT.
In his last start, Lobstein pitched 5.2 innings, giving up three runs, striking out one and walking three in a 3-2 loss to the Astros. Miguel Cabrera (.361, 56 Rs, 17 HRs, 67 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. The Indians were unsuccessful to the Angels 8-3 the last time Kluber pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs (one unearned), striking out six and walking three. Jason Kipnis (.317, 76 Rs, 7 HRs, 45 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 Wednesday with one run.
Detroit is a +147 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Tigers perform poorly as an underdog with a 27-44 record and have an overall money line of -1,074. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the underdog (1-8). Below average play has been the norm lately for the Detroit pitchers. The Tigers have given up an average of 8.3 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 5.0 runs per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Indians come into this game with a win percentage of .524 when playing as the favorite (44-40) and an overall money line of -1,495. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 7-3 SU and have an unblemished 5-0 record when they were the favorite. The Indians average 3.4 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL. Switching gears to Cleveland's pitching staff, they have the lowest road ERA in the AL at 3.41. They have a WHIP of 1.19, fourth best in the MLB. The Cleveland pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an AL-best 8.9 strikeouts per game.
The Tigers have gotten the best of the Indians in head-to-head matchups this season, going 9-3. This game will feature Kluber (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 43-57 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Indians will be the right-hander Lobstein. They sport a 47-41 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Cle, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games.
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road.
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Detroit.
Cleveland is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
The Indians currently sit below .500 against the AL Central Division at 18-31, and the Tigers have a 31-22 record.
The Tigers managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Indians who are coming in with a 22-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 7-50. The Indians have a 9-50 record when opponents outhit them.
Cleveland ranks near the bottom of the league at 25th when it comes to home runs, hitting 109 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 14th with 133.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.45 per game this season. Cleveland ranks eighth with 8.64 hits.
Ranking 15th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.720). Detroit ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .758.
The Indians are 39-55 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Tigers are 30-57 when they allow at least one homer.