Jake Arrieta (17-6, 2.11 ERA) takes the hill for the Chicago Cubs (75-57) after throwing a no-hitter in his most recent outing. They will square off against Robbie Ray (3-10, 3.72 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-69) in the second of a three-game series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 14-5 and Chicago leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 2:20 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 5 and can be seen on CSCh and FSAZ.
Arrieta pitched 9.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out 12 and walking one in a 2-0 win over the Dodgers. Anthony Rizzo (.282, 74 Rs, 27 HRs, 79 RBIs, 15 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and four RBIs. Ray went 5.2 innings, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking three in a 5-4 defeat to the Rockies in his last outing. Paul Goldschmidt (.322, 85 Rs, 27 HRs, 97 RBIs, 21 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when Chicago, a big -212 favorite, takes on Arizona. The Cubs have recorded an overall money line of +584 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 55-33. The Cubs lead the MLB in batting average with an impressive team average of .242. Chicago leads the whole NL in walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Chicago's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.2 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.0. The Cubs are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.20 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Cubs, who lead the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.7.
In games where it is the underdog, Arizona has a 37-42 record and an overall money line of -81. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-3 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 117 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Cubs have a 59-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ray takes the mound. Arrieta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 50-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ChC
Arizona has won 52% (26-24) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Chicago has won 58% (31-22) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cubs who are heading in with a 4-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 45-17. The Cubs have a 49-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 15th in runs, Chicago has earned 556 this season. Arizona ranks third with 608 runs.
Ranking first in walks, Chicago has earned 460 this season. Arizona ranks eighth with 409 walks.
When the Cubs hit at least one home run, they are 52-25, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 47-27 when hitting one or more homers.