Nathan Eovaldi (14-2, 4.17 ERA) and Matt Moore (1-3, 8.78 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (75-58) and the Tampa Bay Rays (66-68) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 5-2 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 5 and can be seen on FS1.
Eovaldi pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 20-6 win over the Braves. Alex Rodriguez (.256, 72 Rs, 27 HRs, 75 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Moore went 3.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking one in an 11-7 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start. Logan Forsythe (.290, 59 Rs, 15 HRs, 53 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a -168 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +442 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 49-30. New York is an impressive 6-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Yankees have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.9 runs per game. As for the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who rank fourth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 34-38 record and an overall money line of -374. They are 15-16 as the underdog against AL East opponents, and 26-27 SU. Offensively, the Rays have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.8 during that stretch. The Rays allow 3.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.1 runs per game during that span. The Rays have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 7.9 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Yankees lead the season series, 9-5. The Yankees have a 23-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Moore takes the mound. Eovaldi (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 42-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Under
The Yankees hold a 31-23 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Rays' record in these matchups is 26-28.
After a weak showing last week where they got in four hits, the Yankees need to step it up. The Rays have a record of 15-4 when opponents get four hits or fewer.
It looks like the Yankees have a slight leg up on the Rays, as the Yankees have won their last three games while the Rays have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 46-20. The Yankees have a 50-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 508 this season. New York ranks second with 651 runs.
Ranking 19th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 364 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 450.
The Yankees are 64-34 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rays are 49-37 when they hit at least one homer.