Jesse Chavez (7-13, 3.93 ERA) and the Oakland Athletics (58-77) go up against Felix Hernandez (15-8, 3.66 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (64-71) in the second of a three-game division series at O.co Coliseum. The Mariners won the last game 11-8 and Seattle leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 9:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sep. 5 and will air on CSCA and RTNW.
In his most recent outing, Chavez pitched 5.0 innings, giving up one, striking out six and walking one in a 7-4 loss to the Diamondbacks. Stephen Vogt (.271, 53 Rs, 18 HRs, 67 RBIs) went 1 for 1 yesterday. The Mariners were victorious over the Athletics 8-2 the last time Hernandez pitched. He went 8.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking one. Nelson Cruz (.310, 77 Rs, 39 HRs, 82 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Oakland, a +132 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Seattle. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. The Athletics perform poorly as an underdog with a 26-41 record and have an overall money line of -2,532. They have a 26-29 record SU and are 10-13 as the underdog within their division. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Athletics has gone great. Over that span, Oakland is averaging 5.7 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.1. Oakland's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 5.3 during that span, compared to its 4.1 season average. The Athletics are fourth in the AL in hits allowed with just 8.3 per game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mariners come into this game with a win percentage of .474 when playing as the favorite (37-41) and an overall money line of -1,509. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 4-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.3 runs per game, above their 3.9 season average. The Mariners are known for their power, smashing 164 home runs.
The Mariners have gotten the best of the Athletics in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-4. The Athletics will take on a right-hander (Hernandez) in this game and have a 46-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mariners will be the right-hander Chavez. They sport a 46-45 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - Sea, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Oakland.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland.
The Athletics hold a 26-30 record this season against teams in the AL West Division. The Mariners' record in these matchups is 29-26.
The Athletics are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Mariners have a record of 11-26 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Mariners have a slight leg up on the Athletics, as the Mariners have won their last three games while the Athletics have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Athletics are 44-20. The Mariners have a 40-18 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Seattle sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 538 this season. Oakland ranks in the top half at 15th with 563.
Ranking 16th, Oakland is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 382 this season. Seattle ranks in the top half at 12th with 393.
When the Athletics hit at least one home run, they are 37-37. When the Mariners hit at least one homer, they have a 55-41 record.