Chris Archer (12-10, 2.78 ERA) gets the start for the Tampa Bay Rays (67-68) as they go up against Ivan Nova (5-7, 4.50 ERA) and the New York Yankees (75-59) in the last of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. The Rays won the last game 3-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Sep. 6 and will air on SUN and YES.
In his last start, Nova pitched 6.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 4-3 loss to the Red Sox. The Rays were victorious the last time Archer pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking three in a 6-3 victory over the Orioles. Logan Forsythe (.290, 60 Rs, 15 HRs, 53 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
New York is a +120 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Yankees have a 25-28 record and overall money line at +542. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-2. Over their past 10 games, New York's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 6.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.9. Transitioning to the pitching staff, an area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.4 K's per game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Rays come into this game with a win percentage of .525 when playing as the favorite (32-29) and an overall money line of -474. Against fellow AL East members, they are 26-28 SU and 11-11 as the favorite. Tampa Bay has been playing better lately, averaging 4.8 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.8. Switching gears to Tampa Bay's pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 7.9 strikeouts per road game.
The Yankees have mostly come out on top against the Rays in their previous 15 games this season, earning a 9-6 record. This game will feature Archer (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 52-43 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Rays will be the right-hander Nova. They sport a 42-54 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Under
The Yankees hold a 31-24 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Rays' record in these matchups is 27-28.
New York has won 48% (31-34) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Tampa Bay has won 49% (27-28) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are heading in with a 30-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 47-20. The Yankees have a 50-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 511 this season. New York ranks second with 653 runs.
Ranking 17th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 371 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 455.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 64-34. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have a 49-37 record.